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10-year Risk Prediction Models of Complications and Mortality of DM in Hong Kong

NCT03299010 · Status: COMPLETED · Type: OBSERVATIONAL · Enrollment: 141516

Last updated 2024-12-12

No results posted yet for this study

Summary

Diabetes Mellitus (DM) is a well-recognized public health issue worldwide. DM can lead to many complications resulting in morbidity and mortality, approximately 70% of DM related deaths were attributed to cardiovascular diseases (CVD).

Objectives:

To develop 10-year risk prediction models for CVD, end stage renal disease (ESRD) and all-cause mortality among Chinese patients with DM in primary care.

Hypotheses:

1. Patient socio-demographic, clinical parameters, disease characteristics and treatment modalities are predictive of 10-year risk of CVD, ESRD and all-cause mortality.
2. Risk prediction models developed from this study should have over 70% of discriminating power.

Design and Subjects:

10-year retrospective cohort study. All Chinese patients who were clinically diagnosed to have DM and were receiving care in the public (Hospital Authority) primary care clinics on or before 1 July 2006 will be followed up until 31 December 2016.

Main outcomes measures:

For total CVD, CHD, stroke, heart failure, ESRD, all-cause mortality

1. 10-year incidence;
2. Predictive factors

Data analysis:

Two thirds of subjects will be randomly selected as the training sample for model development. Cox regressions will be used to develop sex-specific 10-year risk prediction models for each outcome. The validity of models will be tested on the remaining one third of subjects by Harrell C statistics and ROC

Expected results:

Risk prediction models will enable accurate risk stratification and cost-effective interventions for Chinese DM patients in primary care.

Conditions

Sponsors & Collaborators

  • The University of Hong Kong

    lead OTHER

Principal Investigators

  • Cindy L.K. Lam · Department of Family Medicine and Primary Care, University of Hong Kong

Eligibility

Min Age
18 Years
Sex
ALL
Healthy Volunteers
Yes

Timeline & Regulatory

Start
2017-07-01
Primary Completion
2018-12-31
Completion
2019-12-31

Countries

  • China
  • Hong Kong

Study Locations

More Related Trials

Entities

Diseases

Read the full study record

This page highlights key information. For complete eligibility criteria, study locations, investigator contacts, and the full protocol, visit the original record on ClinicalTrials.gov.

View NCT03299010 on ClinicalTrials.gov