Pancreatic Disease Burden in Older Adults (1990-2040)
NCT07177599 · Status: COMPLETED · Type: OBSERVATIONAL · Enrollment: 723415
Last updated 2025-09-17
Summary
Using data from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2021, the investigators analyzed age-standardized incidence, mortality, and disability-adjusted life-years (DALYs) for pancreatic cancer and pancreatitis in adults aged ≥70 years across 204 countries and territories, stratified by sex, Socio-Demographic Index (SDI), health system performance, and region. The investigators calculated estimated annual percentage changes (EAPCs), applied age-period-cohort modelling, and used Bayesian models to project future burden. Attributable burdens for key risk factors were also estimated.
Conditions
Interventions
- BIOLOGICAL
-
Natural history
Natural history of pancreatic diseases
Sponsors & Collaborators
-
Changhai Hospital
lead OTHER
Eligibility
- Min Age
- 70 Years
- Sex
- ALL
- Healthy Volunteers
- No
Timeline & Regulatory
- Start
- 1990-01-01
- Primary Completion
- 2021-12-31
- Completion
- 2025-09-11
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