Trial Outcomes & Findings for Exercise-Induced Hypoglycemia Prevention in Adults With Type 1 Diabetes Using an Artificial Pancreas (NCT NCT03859401)

NCT ID: NCT03859401

Last Updated: 2026-05-05

Results Overview

Number of hypoglycemic occurrences immediately before, during, and immediately after exercise (\~5-7pm) as defined by more than one consecutive CGM values below 70 mg/dL or hypoglycemic treatment per glycemic guidelines.

Recruitment status

COMPLETED

Study phase

NA

Target enrollment

15 participants

Primary outcome timeframe

2 Hours

Results posted on

2026-05-05

Participant Flow

Participant milestones

Participant milestones
Measure
Experimental: Control - Experimental Admissions
Subjects will be randomized following the Data Collection Phase in a 1:1 ratio. Subjects in the Control-Experimental Arm will undergo the Control Admission first, utilizing an artificial pancreas (AP) controller that does not anticipate exercise (rMPC - naïve model predictive control), followed by the Experimental Admission, which will utilize an AP controller that has the ability to anticipate exercise (EnMPC - ensemble model predictive control). During the 36-hour admissions, subjects will begin using the study AP system (control or experimental) on Day 1 around midday with a scheduled exercise activity in the evening. Day 2 will consist of minimal activity and subjects will be discharged in the evening on Day 2.
Experimental: Experimental - Control Admissions
Subjects will be randomized following the Data Collection Phase in a 1:1 ratio. Subjects in the Experimental-Control Arm will undergo the Experimental Admission first, utilizing an artificial pancreas (AP) controller that has the ability to anticipate exercise (EnMPC), followed by the Control Admission, which will utilize an AP controller that does not have the ability to anticipate exercise (rMPC). During the 36-hour admissions, subjects will begin using the study AP system (control or experimental) on Day 1 around midday with a scheduled exercise activity in the evening. Day 2 will consist of minimal activity and subjects will be discharged in the evening on Day 2.
Overall Study
STARTED
7
8
Overall Study
COMPLETED
7
8
Overall Study
NOT COMPLETED
0
0

Reasons for withdrawal

Withdrawal data not reported

Baseline Characteristics

Exercise-Induced Hypoglycemia Prevention in Adults With Type 1 Diabetes Using an Artificial Pancreas

Baseline characteristics by cohort

Baseline characteristics by cohort
Measure
Experimental: Control - Experimental Admissions
n=7 Participants
Subjects will be randomized following the Data Collection Phase in a 1:1 ratio. Subjects in the Control-Experimental Arm will undergo the Control Admission first, utilizing an artificial pancreas (AP) controller that does not anticipate exercise (rMPC - naïve model predictive control), followed by the Experimental Admission, which will utilize an AP controller that has the ability to anticipate exercise (EnMPC - ensemble model predictive control). During the 36-hour admissions, subjects will begin using the study AP system (control or experimental) on Day 1 around midday with a scheduled exercise activity in the evening. Day 2 will consist of minimal activity and subjects will be discharged in the evening on Day 2.
Experimental: Experimental - Control Admissions
n=8 Participants
Subjects will be randomized following the Data Collection Phase in a 1:1 ratio. Subjects in the Experimental-Control Arm will undergo the Experimental Admission first, utilizing an artificial pancreas (AP) controller that has the ability to anticipate exercise (EnMPC), followed by the Control Admission, which will utilize an AP controller that does not have the ability to anticipate exercise (rMPC). During the 36-hour admissions, subjects will begin using the study AP system (control or experimental) on Day 1 around midday with a scheduled exercise activity in the evening. Day 2 will consist of minimal activity and subjects will be discharged in the evening on Day 2.
Total
n=15 Participants
Total of all reporting groups
Age, Continuous
42.9 years
STANDARD_DEVIATION 10.9 • n=54 Participants
41.6 years
STANDARD_DEVIATION 16.3 • n=60 Participants
42.2 years
STANDARD_DEVIATION 13.5 • n=114 Participants
Sex: Female, Male
Female
6 Participants
n=54 Participants
4 Participants
n=60 Participants
10 Participants
n=114 Participants
Sex: Female, Male
Male
1 Participants
n=54 Participants
4 Participants
n=60 Participants
5 Participants
n=114 Participants
Race (NIH/OMB)
American Indian or Alaska Native
0 Participants
n=54 Participants
0 Participants
n=60 Participants
0 Participants
n=114 Participants
Race (NIH/OMB)
Asian
0 Participants
n=54 Participants
0 Participants
n=60 Participants
0 Participants
n=114 Participants
Race (NIH/OMB)
Native Hawaiian or Other Pacific Islander
0 Participants
n=54 Participants
0 Participants
n=60 Participants
0 Participants
n=114 Participants
Race (NIH/OMB)
Black or African American
0 Participants
n=54 Participants
0 Participants
n=60 Participants
0 Participants
n=114 Participants
Race (NIH/OMB)
White
7 Participants
n=54 Participants
8 Participants
n=60 Participants
15 Participants
n=114 Participants
Race (NIH/OMB)
More than one race
0 Participants
n=54 Participants
0 Participants
n=60 Participants
0 Participants
n=114 Participants
Race (NIH/OMB)
Unknown or Not Reported
0 Participants
n=54 Participants
0 Participants
n=60 Participants
0 Participants
n=114 Participants
Weight
86.9 kg
STANDARD_DEVIATION 11.5 • n=54 Participants
78.7 kg
STANDARD_DEVIATION 16.7 • n=60 Participants
82.5 kg
STANDARD_DEVIATION 14.6 • n=114 Participants
Height
164.1 cm
STANDARD_DEVIATION 11.3 • n=54 Participants
173.2 cm
STANDARD_DEVIATION 10.2 • n=60 Participants
168.9 cm
STANDARD_DEVIATION 11.3 • n=114 Participants
HbA1c
6.7 percentage of glycated hemoglobin
STANDARD_DEVIATION 0.3 • n=54 Participants
6.6 percentage of glycated hemoglobin
STANDARD_DEVIATION 1.1 • n=60 Participants
6.6 percentage of glycated hemoglobin
STANDARD_DEVIATION 1.0 • n=114 Participants
Type 1 Diabetes Duration
30.6 years
STANDARD_DEVIATION 13.3 • n=54 Participants
21.9 years
STANDARD_DEVIATION 14.2 • n=60 Participants
26.8 years
STANDARD_DEVIATION 13.6 • n=114 Participants

PRIMARY outcome

Timeframe: 2 Hours

Number of hypoglycemic occurrences immediately before, during, and immediately after exercise (\~5-7pm) as defined by more than one consecutive CGM values below 70 mg/dL or hypoglycemic treatment per glycemic guidelines.

Outcome measures

Outcome measures
Measure
APEX (Experimental)
n=15 Participants
Multi-stage Model Predictive Control (MS-MPC/APEX) exercise-aware, controller (experimental condition)
HCL (Control)
n=15 Participants
state-of-the-art, Regular Model Predictive Control Hybrid (HCL) (control condition)
Number of Hypoglycemic Occurrences in Relation to Exercise Activity
0 occurence
Interval 0.0 to 1.0
1 occurence
Interval 0.0 to 1.7

SECONDARY outcome

Timeframe: 36 Hours

Average CGM value

Outcome measures

Outcome measures
Measure
APEX (Experimental)
n=15 Participants
Multi-stage Model Predictive Control (MS-MPC/APEX) exercise-aware, controller (experimental condition)
HCL (Control)
n=15 Participants
state-of-the-art, Regular Model Predictive Control Hybrid (HCL) (control condition)
Average CGM
141.9 mg/dl
Standard Deviation 20.3
136.9 mg/dl
Standard Deviation 19.9

SECONDARY outcome

Timeframe: 36 Hours

Percentage of time CGM was below 54 mg/dL

Outcome measures

Outcome measures
Measure
APEX (Experimental)
n=15 Participants
Multi-stage Model Predictive Control (MS-MPC/APEX) exercise-aware, controller (experimental condition)
HCL (Control)
n=15 Participants
state-of-the-art, Regular Model Predictive Control Hybrid (HCL) (control condition)
Percent Time CGM Below 54 mg/dL
0 percentage of time
Interval 0.0 to 0.0
0 percentage of time
Interval 0.0 to 0.3

SECONDARY outcome

Timeframe: 36 Hours

Percentage of time CGM was below 70 mg/dL

Outcome measures

Outcome measures
Measure
APEX (Experimental)
n=15 Participants
Multi-stage Model Predictive Control (MS-MPC/APEX) exercise-aware, controller (experimental condition)
HCL (Control)
n=15 Participants
state-of-the-art, Regular Model Predictive Control Hybrid (HCL) (control condition)
Percent Time CGM Below 70 mg/dL
0 percentage of time
Interval 0.0 to 0.7
1.3 percentage of time
Interval 0.0 to 2.7

SECONDARY outcome

Timeframe: 36 Hours

Percentage of time CGM was between 70 and 180 mg/dL

Outcome measures

Outcome measures
Measure
APEX (Experimental)
n=15 Participants
Multi-stage Model Predictive Control (MS-MPC/APEX) exercise-aware, controller (experimental condition)
HCL (Control)
n=15 Participants
state-of-the-art, Regular Model Predictive Control Hybrid (HCL) (control condition)
Percent Time CGM Between 70 and 180 mg/dL
81 percentage of time
Standard Deviation 15.7
81 percentage of time
Standard Deviation 12.4

SECONDARY outcome

Timeframe: 36 Hours

Percentage of time CGM was between 70 and 140 mg/dL

Outcome measures

Outcome measures
Measure
APEX (Experimental)
n=15 Participants
Multi-stage Model Predictive Control (MS-MPC/APEX) exercise-aware, controller (experimental condition)
HCL (Control)
n=15 Participants
state-of-the-art, Regular Model Predictive Control Hybrid (HCL) (control condition)
Percent Time CGM Between 70 and 140 mg/dL
58.4 percentage of time
Standard Deviation 15.3
62 percentage of time
Standard Deviation 14.1

SECONDARY outcome

Timeframe: 36 Hours

Percentage of time CGM was above 180 mg/dL

Outcome measures

Outcome measures
Measure
APEX (Experimental)
n=15 Participants
Multi-stage Model Predictive Control (MS-MPC/APEX) exercise-aware, controller (experimental condition)
HCL (Control)
n=15 Participants
state-of-the-art, Regular Model Predictive Control Hybrid (HCL) (control condition)
Percent Time CGM Above 180 mg/dL
18.5 percentage of time
Standard Deviation 15.9
16.6 percentage of time
Standard Deviation 112.6

SECONDARY outcome

Timeframe: 36 Hours

Percentage of time CGM was above 250 mg/dL

Outcome measures

Outcome measures
Measure
APEX (Experimental)
n=15 Participants
Multi-stage Model Predictive Control (MS-MPC/APEX) exercise-aware, controller (experimental condition)
HCL (Control)
n=15 Participants
state-of-the-art, Regular Model Predictive Control Hybrid (HCL) (control condition)
Percent Time CGM Above 250 mg/dL
0 percentage of time
Interval 0.0 to 4.4
0 percentage of time
Interval 0.0 to 2.0

SECONDARY outcome

Timeframe: 36 Hours

Coefficient of Variation of the CGM Values

Outcome measures

Outcome measures
Measure
APEX (Experimental)
n=15 Participants
Multi-stage Model Predictive Control (MS-MPC/APEX) exercise-aware, controller (experimental condition)
HCL (Control)
n=15 Participants
state-of-the-art, Regular Model Predictive Control Hybrid (HCL) (control condition)
CGM Coefficient of Variation
29.1 percentage of coefficient of variation
Standard Deviation 6.3
30.5 percentage of coefficient of variation
Standard Deviation 6.1

SECONDARY outcome

Timeframe: 36 Hours

CGM-based Low Blood Glucose Index (LBGI) which is a metric used to quantify the risk of hypoglycemia (low blood sugar) based on self-monitored blood glucose (SMBG) data. LBGI is based on a nonlinear transformation of blood glucose values that corrects for the asymmetry of the glucose scale. This transformation maps glucose values into a risk space (minimum risk = 0), where higher values correspond to higher risk. Values \<1 suggest low risk of hypoglycemia.

Outcome measures

Outcome measures
Measure
APEX (Experimental)
n=15 Participants
Multi-stage Model Predictive Control (MS-MPC/APEX) exercise-aware, controller (experimental condition)
HCL (Control)
n=15 Participants
state-of-the-art, Regular Model Predictive Control Hybrid (HCL) (control condition)
CGM-based Low Blood Glucose Index
0.3 Index
Interval 0.3 to 0.7
0.6 Index
Interval 0.4 to 0.9

SECONDARY outcome

Timeframe: 36 Hours

Standard Deviation of the CGM Values

Outcome measures

Outcome measures
Measure
APEX (Experimental)
n=15 Participants
Multi-stage Model Predictive Control (MS-MPC/APEX) exercise-aware, controller (experimental condition)
HCL (Control)
n=15 Participants
state-of-the-art, Regular Model Predictive Control Hybrid (HCL) (control condition)
CGM Standard Deviation
42 mg/dl
Standard Deviation 12.2
42 mg/dl
Standard Deviation 11.8

OTHER_PRE_SPECIFIED outcome

Timeframe: 36 Hours

Total Amount of Insulin Used, units

Outcome measures

Outcome measures
Measure
APEX (Experimental)
n=15 Participants
Multi-stage Model Predictive Control (MS-MPC/APEX) exercise-aware, controller (experimental condition)
HCL (Control)
n=15 Participants
state-of-the-art, Regular Model Predictive Control Hybrid (HCL) (control condition)
Total Amount of Insulin Used
46.2 unit
Standard Deviation 13
50.6 unit
Standard Deviation 18.2

OTHER_PRE_SPECIFIED outcome

Timeframe: 36 Hours

Number of Hypoglycemic Episodes as defined by contiguous CGM below 70 mg/dL

Outcome measures

Outcome measures
Measure
APEX (Experimental)
n=15 Participants
Multi-stage Model Predictive Control (MS-MPC/APEX) exercise-aware, controller (experimental condition)
HCL (Control)
n=15 Participants
state-of-the-art, Regular Model Predictive Control Hybrid (HCL) (control condition)
Number of Hypoglycemic Episodes
0 Episodes
Interval 0.0 to 1.0
1 Episodes
Interval 1.0 to 3.0

Adverse Events

HCL (Control)

Serious events: 0 serious events
Other events: 1 other events
Deaths: 0 deaths

APEX (Experimental)

Serious events: 0 serious events
Other events: 0 other events
Deaths: 0 deaths

Serious adverse events

Adverse event data not reported

Other adverse events

Other adverse events
Measure
HCL (Control)
n=15 participants at risk
Subjects will be randomized following the Data Collection Phase in a 1:1 ratio. Subjects in the Control-Experimental Arm will undergo the Control Admission first, utilizing an artificial pancreas (AP) controller that does not anticipate exercise (rMPC - naïve model predictive control), followed by the Experimental Admission, which will utilize an AP controller that has the ability to anticipate exercise (EnMPC - ensemble model predictive control). During the 36-hour admissions, subjects will begin using the study AP system (control or experimental) on Day 1 around midday with a scheduled exercise activity in the evening. Day 2 will consist of minimal activity and subjects will be discharged in the evening on Day 2.
APEX (Experimental)
n=15 participants at risk
Subjects will be randomized following the Data Collection Phase in a 1:1 ratio. Subjects in the Experimental-Control Arm will undergo the Experimental Admission first, utilizing an artificial pancreas (AP) controller that has the ability to anticipate exercise (EnMPC), followed by the Control Admission, which will utilize an AP controller that does not have the ability to anticipate exercise (rMPC). During the 36-hour admissions, subjects will begin using the study AP system (control or experimental) on Day 1 around midday with a scheduled exercise activity in the evening. Day 2 will consist of minimal activity and subjects will be discharged in the evening on Day 2.
Skin and subcutaneous tissue disorders
Skin infection on arm
6.7%
1/15 • Enrollment to second admission day, ~ 2 months
0.00%
0/15 • Enrollment to second admission day, ~ 2 months

Additional Information

Marc Breton

UVA Center for Diabetes Technology

Phone: 434-982-6484

Results disclosure agreements

  • Principal investigator is a sponsor employee
  • Publication restrictions are in place