Trial Outcomes & Findings for Epidemiologic Study Of Diabetes And Cancer Risk (NCT NCT02958995)

NCT ID: NCT02958995

Last Updated: 2018-03-07

Results Overview

Age and gender adjusted incidence rates, stratified by diabetes status, was calculated using the direct method (2000 US Census as standard), with further stratification on calendar year. Cancer incidence rates were calculated with attention to the proper allocation of at-risk person-time. The association between diabetes and risk of each of the 10 most common cancers was assessed using Cox proportional hazards regression models with control for available potential confounders: age, gender. Similarly, Cox regression technique was used to examine the association between diabetes status and cancer risk among survey responders with adjustment for additional potential confounding variable.

Recruitment status

COMPLETED

Target enrollment

2738161 participants

Primary outcome timeframe

15 years

Results posted on

2018-03-07

Participant Flow

Participants took part in the study at 2 investigative sites in the United States from 01 July 1997 to 30 June 2011.

Participants with a historical diagnosis of Type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) with pioglitazone exposure identified from the Kaiser Permanente of Northern California(KPNC) Diabetes Registry (with or without diabetes) and had completed Member Health Survey (MHS) were enrolled in the epidemiology study.

Participant milestones

Participant milestones
Measure
Full KPNC Cohort
Participants who were members of the KPNC registry (with or without diabetes) were followed up to 15 years (1997-2011) in this epidemiological study.
Survey Responders Cohort
A subset of KPNC members who completed the Kaiser Diabetes Registry Survey in 1994-1996 and among a random sample of KPNC members who completed the Member Health Survey (MHS), in 1996, 1999, 2002, or 2005 were followed up to 15 years (1997-2011) in this epidemiological study.
Overall Study
STARTED
2630666
107495
Overall Study
COMPLETED
2630666
107495
Overall Study
NOT COMPLETED
0
0

Reasons for withdrawal

Withdrawal data not reported

Baseline Characteristics

Epidemiologic Study Of Diabetes And Cancer Risk

Baseline characteristics by cohort

Baseline characteristics by cohort
Measure
Full KPNC Cohort
n=2630666 Participants
Participants who were members of the KPNC registry (with or without diabetes) were followed up to 15 years (1997-2011) in this epidemiological study.
Survey Responders Cohort
n=107495 Participants
A subset of KPNC members who completed the Kaiser Diabetes Registry Survey in 1994-1996 and among a random sample of KPNC members who completed the Member Health Survey (MHS), in 1996, 1999, 2002, or 2005 were followed up to 15 years (1997-2011) in this epidemiological study.
Total
n=2738161 Participants
Total of all reporting groups
Age, Customized
40 - 49 years
1501084 participants
11.6 • n=99 Participants
30256 participants
12.9 • n=107 Participants
1531340 participants
n=206 Participants
Age, Customized
50 - 59 years
570636 participants
n=99 Participants
24585 participants
n=107 Participants
595221 participants
n=206 Participants
Age, Customized
60 - 69 years
322517 participants
n=99 Participants
25582 participants
n=107 Participants
348099 participants
n=206 Participants
Age, Customized
70 - 79 years
170136 participants
n=99 Participants
22028 participants
n=107 Participants
192164 participants
n=206 Participants
Age, Customized
greater than or equal to (>=) 80 years
66293 participants
n=99 Participants
5044 participants
n=107 Participants
71337 participants
n=206 Participants
Sex: Female, Male
Female
1353782 Participants
n=99 Participants
54418 Participants
n=107 Participants
1408200 Participants
n=206 Participants
Sex: Female, Male
Male
1276884 Participants
n=99 Participants
53077 Participants
n=107 Participants
1329961 Participants
n=206 Participants
Race/Ethnicity, Customized
White
1339805 Participants
n=99 Participants
67837 Participants
n=107 Participants
1407642 Participants
n=206 Participants
Race/Ethnicity, Customized
Black
171604 Participants
n=99 Participants
10167 Participants
n=107 Participants
181771 Participants
n=206 Participants
Race/Ethnicity, Customized
Hispanic
322046 Participants
n=99 Participants
11871 Participants
n=107 Participants
333917 Participants
n=206 Participants
Race/Ethnicity, Customized
Asian or Pacific Islander
312730 Participants
n=99 Participants
13508 Participants
n=107 Participants
326238 Participants
n=206 Participants
Race/Ethnicity, Customized
Other
87901 Participants
n=99 Participants
2728 Participants
n=107 Participants
90629 Participants
n=206 Participants
Race/Ethnicity, Customized
Unknown
396580 Participants
n=99 Participants
1384 Participants
n=107 Participants
397964 Participants
n=206 Participants

PRIMARY outcome

Timeframe: 15 years

Population: Analysis population included participants from KPNC registry (with or without diabetes) and had completed the MHS in the epidemiology study.

Age and gender adjusted incidence rates, stratified by diabetes status, was calculated using the direct method (2000 US Census as standard), with further stratification on calendar year. Cancer incidence rates were calculated with attention to the proper allocation of at-risk person-time. The association between diabetes and risk of each of the 10 most common cancers was assessed using Cox proportional hazards regression models with control for available potential confounders: age, gender. Similarly, Cox regression technique was used to examine the association between diabetes status and cancer risk among survey responders with adjustment for additional potential confounding variable.

Outcome measures

Outcome measures
Measure
Full KPNC Cohort
n=2630666 Participants
Participants who were members of the KPNC registry (with or without diabetes) were followed up to 15 years (1997-2011) in this epidemiological study.
Survey Responders Cohort
n=107495 Participants
A subset of KPNC members who completed the Kaiser Diabetes Registry Survey in 1994-1996 and among a random sample of KPNC members who completed the Member Health Survey (MHS), in 1996, 1999, 2002, or 2005 were followed up to 15 years (1997-2011) in this epidemiological study.
Age and Sex-Standardized Incidence Rates for the 10 Most Common Cancers Stratified by Diabetes Status
Kidney/Renal Pelvis, Diabetes Status: No
23.5 Incidence per 100,000 person-years
Interval 22.7 to 24.2
21.5 Incidence per 100,000 person-years
Interval 17.2 to 25.7
Age and Sex-Standardized Incidence Rates for the 10 Most Common Cancers Stratified by Diabetes Status
Kidney/Renal Pelvis, Diabetes Status: Yes
39.5 Incidence per 100,000 person-years
Interval 36.8 to 42.2
34.5 Incidence per 100,000 person-years
Interval 29.0 to 40.0
Age and Sex-Standardized Incidence Rates for the 10 Most Common Cancers Stratified by Diabetes Status
Rectal, Diabetes Status: No
24.6 Incidence per 100,000 person-years
Interval 23.8 to 25.4
26.7 Incidence per 100,000 person-years
Interval 21.7 to 31.7
Age and Sex-Standardized Incidence Rates for the 10 Most Common Cancers Stratified by Diabetes Status
Prostate, Diabetes Status: No
380.2 Incidence per 100,000 person-years
Interval 375.6 to 384.9
421.9 Incidence per 100,000 person-years
Interval 393.6 to 450.2
Age and Sex-Standardized Incidence Rates for the 10 Most Common Cancers Stratified by Diabetes Status
Prostate, Diabetes Status: Yes
308.0 Incidence per 100,000 person-years
Interval 299.0 to 316.9
281.9 Incidence per 100,000 person-years
Interval 265.7 to 298.2
Age and Sex-Standardized Incidence Rates for the 10 Most Common Cancers Stratified by Diabetes Status
Female Breast, Diabetes Status: No
291.8 Incidence per 100,000 person-years
Interval 288.2 to 295.5
310.7 Incidence per 100,000 person-years
Interval 287.6 to 333.8
Age and Sex-Standardized Incidence Rates for the 10 Most Common Cancers Stratified by Diabetes Status
Female Breast, Diabetes Status: Yes
286.9 Incidence per 100,000 person-years
Interval 276.3 to 297.5
287.9 Incidence per 100,000 person-years
Interval 266.1 to 309.6
Age and Sex-Standardized Incidence Rates for the 10 Most Common Cancers Stratified by Diabetes Status
Lung/Bronchus, Diabetes Status: No
111.3 Incidence per 100,000 person-years
Interval 109.7 to 113.0
116.1 Incidence per 100,000 person-years
Interval 107.0 to 125.3
Age and Sex-Standardized Incidence Rates for the 10 Most Common Cancers Stratified by Diabetes Status
Lung/Bronchus, Diabetes Status: Yes
108.8 Incidence per 100,000 person-years
Interval 104.9 to 112.6
105.9 Incidence per 100,000 person-years
Interval 98.5 to 113.2
Age and Sex-Standardized Incidence Rates for the 10 Most Common Cancers Stratified by Diabetes Status
Colon, Diabetes Status: No
69.1 Incidence per 100,000 person-years
Interval 67.8 to 70.5
75.5 Incidence per 100,000 person-years
Interval 67.9 to 83.1
Age and Sex-Standardized Incidence Rates for the 10 Most Common Cancers Stratified by Diabetes Status
Colon, Diabetes Status: Yes
93.5 Incidence per 100,000 person-years
Interval 89.7 to 97.3
97.3 Incidence per 100,000 person-years
Interval 90.1 to 104.5
Age and Sex-Standardized Incidence Rates for the 10 Most Common Cancers Stratified by Diabetes Status
Non-Hodgkin lymphoma, Diabetes: No
39.5 Incidence per 100,000 person-years
Interval 38.5 to 40.5
40.6 Incidence per 100,000 person-years
Interval 34.6 to 46.6
Age and Sex-Standardized Incidence Rates for the 10 Most Common Cancers Stratified by Diabetes Status
Non-Hodgkin lymphoma, Diabetes: Yes
45.6 Incidence per 100,000 person-years
Interval 42.8 to 48.4
43.2 Incidence per 100,000 person-years
Interval 37.7 to 48.6
Age and Sex-Standardized Incidence Rates for the 10 Most Common Cancers Stratified by Diabetes Status
Corpus uteri, Diabetes Status: No
55.9 Incidence per 100,000 person-years
Interval 54.3 to 57.5
59.7 Incidence per 100,000 person-years
Interval 49.6 to 69.8
Age and Sex-Standardized Incidence Rates for the 10 Most Common Cancers Stratified by Diabetes Status
Corpus uteri, Diabetes Status: Yes
112.1 Incidence per 100,000 person-years
Interval 104.9 to 119.2
106.2 Incidence per 100,000 person-years
Interval 92.7 to 119.6
Age and Sex-Standardized Incidence Rates for the 10 Most Common Cancers Stratified by Diabetes Status
Pancreas, Diabetes Status: No
18.8 Incidence per 100,000 person-years
Interval 18.1 to 19.5
18.5 Incidence per 100,000 person-years
Interval 14.9 to 22.1
Age and Sex-Standardized Incidence Rates for the 10 Most Common Cancers Stratified by Diabetes Status
Pancreas, Diabetes Status: Yes
47.3 Incidence per 100,000 person-years
Interval 44.6 to 49.9
37.1 Incidence per 100,000 person-years
Interval 32.3 to 41.9
Age and Sex-Standardized Incidence Rates for the 10 Most Common Cancers Stratified by Diabetes Status
Rectal, Diabetes Status: Yes
31.1 Incidence per 100,000 person-years
Interval 28.7 to 33.4
31.9 Incidence per 100,000 person-years
Interval 26.6 to 37.2
Age and Sex-Standardized Incidence Rates for the 10 Most Common Cancers Stratified by Diabetes Status
Melanoma, Diabetes Status: No
42.5 Incidence per 100,000 person-years
Interval 41.5 to 43.5
55.8 Incidence per 100,000 person-years
Interval 48.5 to 63.0
Age and Sex-Standardized Incidence Rates for the 10 Most Common Cancers Stratified by Diabetes Status
Melanoma, Diabetes Status: Yes
30.6 Incidence per 100,000 person-years
Interval 28.2 to 32.9
31.7 Incidence per 100,000 person-years
Interval 26.8 to 36.7

PRIMARY outcome

Timeframe: 15 years

Population: Analysis population included participants from KPNC registry (with or without diabetes) and had completed the MHS in the epidemiology study.

The association between diabetes and risk of each of the 10 most common cancers was assessed by calculating hazard ratio using Cox proportional hazards regression models with control for available potential confounders: age, gender and calendar years. Cox regression techniques was used to examine the association between DM status and cancer risk with adjustment for potential confounding variables in the survey respondent cohort.

Outcome measures

Outcome measures
Measure
Full KPNC Cohort
n=2630666 Participants
Participants who were members of the KPNC registry (with or without diabetes) were followed up to 15 years (1997-2011) in this epidemiological study.
Survey Responders Cohort
n=107495 Participants
A subset of KPNC members who completed the Kaiser Diabetes Registry Survey in 1994-1996 and among a random sample of KPNC members who completed the Member Health Survey (MHS), in 1996, 1999, 2002, or 2005 were followed up to 15 years (1997-2011) in this epidemiological study.
Hazard Ratio for Risk of 10 Common Cancers Associated With Diabetes
Prostate, Diabetes Status
0.81 Ratio
Interval 0.78 to 0.83
0.77 Ratio
Interval 0.68 to 0.86
Hazard Ratio for Risk of 10 Common Cancers Associated With Diabetes
Female Breast, Diabetes Status
1.01 Ratio
Interval 0.98 to 1.05
0.98 Ratio
Interval 0.86 to 1.12
Hazard Ratio for Risk of 10 Common Cancers Associated With Diabetes
Lung/Bronchus, Diabetes Status
0.99 Ratio
Interval 0.96 to 1.03
0.84 Ratio
Interval 0.74 to 0.96
Hazard Ratio for Risk of 10 Common Cancers Associated With Diabetes
Colon, Diabetes Status
1.36 Ratio
Interval 1.31 to 1.42
1.18 Ratio
Interval 1.01 to 1.38
Hazard Ratio for Risk of 10 Common Cancers Associated With Diabetes
Non-Hodgkin lymphoma, Diabetes
1.14 Ratio
Interval 1.07 to 1.21
1.06 Ratio
Interval 0.85 to 1.33
Hazard Ratio for Risk of 10 Common Cancers Associated With Diabetes
Corpus uteri, Diabetes Status
1.82 Ratio
Interval 1.71 to 1.95
1.67 Ratio
Interval 1.28 to 2.18
Hazard Ratio for Risk of 10 Common Cancers Associated With Diabetes
Pancreas, Diabetes Status
2.50 Ratio
Interval 2.35 to 2.67
2.38 Ratio
Interval 1.78 to 3.18
Hazard Ratio for Risk of 10 Common Cancers Associated With Diabetes
Kidney/Renal Pelvis, Diabetes Status
1.56 Ratio
Interval 1.46 to 1.67
1.37 Ratio
Interval 1.04 to 1.82
Hazard Ratio for Risk of 10 Common Cancers Associated With Diabetes
Rectal, Diabetes Status
1.25 Ratio
Interval 1.16 to 1.35
1.41 Ratio
Interval 1.05 to 1.89
Hazard Ratio for Risk of 10 Common Cancers Associated With Diabetes
Melanoma, Diabetes Status
0.73 Ratio
Interval 0.68 to 0.79
0.69 Ratio
Interval 0.55 to 0.86

Adverse Events

Full KPNC Cohort

Serious events: 0 serious events
Other events: 0 other events
Deaths: 0 deaths

Survey Responders Cohort

Serious events: 0 serious events
Other events: 0 other events
Deaths: 0 deaths

Serious adverse events

Adverse event data not reported

Other adverse events

Adverse event data not reported

Additional Information

Medical Director

Takeda

Phone: +1-877-825-3327

Results disclosure agreements

  • Principal investigator is a sponsor employee No publication related to study results will be published prior to publication of a multi-center report submitted for publication within 18 months after conclusion or termination of a study at all study sites. Results publications will be submitted to sponsor for review 60 days in advance of publication. Sponsor can require removal of confidential information unrelated to study results. Sponsor can embargo a proposed publication for another 60 days to preserve intellectual property.
  • Publication restrictions are in place

Restriction type: OTHER