Trial Outcomes & Findings for Modifying Cervical Bishop Scoring System (NCT NCT02314260)

NCT ID: NCT02314260

Last Updated: 2015-01-16

Results Overview

to predict failed induction and comparing it to the area under curve for bishop score to find out which test is more accurate in predicting caesarean section, The positive actual state is failed induction and performing Caesarean Section.The positive actual state is failed induction, the true positive rate (Sensitivity) is plotted in function of the false positive rate (100-Specificity). So as the numbers approaches 1, induction fails, the Y-axis of the curve is sensitivity and the x- axis is (1-specificity).

Recruitment status

COMPLETED

Target enrollment

80 participants

Primary outcome timeframe

5 months

Results posted on

2015-01-16

Participant Flow

started July 2014 till December 2014 \& recruited 80 primigravidas undergoing scheduled for pregnancy termination at Kasr El Aini Hospital

Participant milestones

Participant milestones
Measure
Labour Induction
80 primigravidas undergoing bishop score calculation, trans-vaginal ultrasound assessment of cervical length \&, Modified bishop score calculation, then induction of labour at our hospital. bishop score calculation: Assessment of bishop score by vaginal examination Trans-vaginal ultrasound: trans-vaginal ultrasound assessment of cervical length. Modified bishop score calculation: using the cervical length and the original bishop score to calculate modified bishop score labour induction: Induction of labor was carried out as per our hospital's standard protocol.
Overall Study
STARTED
80
Overall Study
COMPLETED
80
Overall Study
NOT COMPLETED
0

Reasons for withdrawal

Withdrawal data not reported

Baseline Characteristics

Modifying Cervical Bishop Scoring System

Baseline characteristics by cohort

Baseline characteristics by cohort
Measure
Labour Induction
n=80 Participants
80 primigravidas undergoing bishop score calculation, trans-vaginal ultrasound assessment of cervical length \&, Modified bishop score calculation, then induction of labour at our hospital. bishop score calculation: Assessment of bishop score by vaginal examination Trans-vaginal ultrasound: trans-vaginal ultrasound assessment of cervical length. Modified bishop score calculation: using the cervical length and the original bishop score to calculate modified bishop score labour induction: Induction of labor was carried out as per our hospital's standard protocol.
Age, Continuous
24.31 years
STANDARD_DEVIATION 3.65 • n=99 Participants
Sex: Female, Male
Female
80 Participants
n=99 Participants
Sex: Female, Male
Male
0 Participants
n=99 Participants
Region of Enrollment
Egypt
80 participants
n=99 Participants
Gestational Age
39.70 Weeks
STANDARD_DEVIATION 1.50 • n=99 Participants
Bishop Score
5.71 units on a scale
STANDARD_DEVIATION 1.20 • n=99 Participants
Cervical Length
2.06 Cm
STANDARD_DEVIATION 0.56 • n=99 Participants
New Modified Bishop Score
5.28 units on a scale
STANDARD_DEVIATION 1.88 • n=99 Participants
Time to active Phase
11.87 Hours
STANDARD_DEVIATION 3.25 • n=99 Participants
Induction to delivery time
17.38 Hours
STANDARD_DEVIATION 4.29 • n=99 Participants
rupture of membraned duration
9.93 hours
STANDARD_DEVIATION 4.50 • n=99 Participants
Fetal weight (kilograms)
3.02 kilograms
STANDARD_DEVIATION 0.267 • n=99 Participants
Apgar score at 5 minutes
8.45 units on a scale
STANDARD_DEVIATION 1.82 • n=99 Participants

PRIMARY outcome

Timeframe: 5 months

Population: the area under the modified bishop score was 0.916 (95% \[confidence interval \] 0.85-0.97). The positive actual state is failed induction and performing Caesarean Section, So as the numbers approaches 1, induction fails, the Y-axis of the curve is sensitivity and the x- axis is (1-specificity).

to predict failed induction and comparing it to the area under curve for bishop score to find out which test is more accurate in predicting caesarean section, The positive actual state is failed induction and performing Caesarean Section.The positive actual state is failed induction, the true positive rate (Sensitivity) is plotted in function of the false positive rate (100-Specificity). So as the numbers approaches 1, induction fails, the Y-axis of the curve is sensitivity and the x- axis is (1-specificity).

Outcome measures

Outcome measures
Measure
Labour Induction
n=80 Participants
80 primigravidas undergoing bishop score calculation, trans-vaginal ultrasound assessment of cervical length \&, Modified bishop score calculation, then induction of labour at our hospital. bishop score calculation: Assessment of bishop score by vaginal examination Trans-vaginal ultrasound: trans-vaginal ultrasound assessment of cervical length. Modified bishop score calculation: using the cervical length and the original bishop score to calculate modified bishop score labour induction: Induction of labor was carried out as per our hospital's standard protocol.
Area Under Receiver Operating Characteristic Curve (ROC) for Modified Bishop Score
0.916 probability
Interval 0.85 to 0.97

SECONDARY outcome

Timeframe: 5 months

Population: The positive actual state is failed induction and performing Caesarean Section, So as the numbers approaches 1, induction of labour fails, the Y-axis of the curve is (sensitivity) and the x- axis is (1-specificity).

to predict failed induction and comparing it to the area under curve for modified bishop score to find out which test is more accurate in predicting caesarean section, The positive actual state is failed induction and performing Caesarean Section. The positive actual state is failed induction, the true positive rate (Sensitivity) is plotted in function of the false positive rate (100-Specificity), So as the numbers approaches 1, induction fails, the Y-axis of the curve is sensitivity and the x- axis is (1-specificity).

Outcome measures

Outcome measures
Measure
Labour Induction
n=80 Participants
80 primigravidas undergoing bishop score calculation, trans-vaginal ultrasound assessment of cervical length \&, Modified bishop score calculation, then induction of labour at our hospital. bishop score calculation: Assessment of bishop score by vaginal examination Trans-vaginal ultrasound: trans-vaginal ultrasound assessment of cervical length. Modified bishop score calculation: using the cervical length and the original bishop score to calculate modified bishop score labour induction: Induction of labor was carried out as per our hospital's standard protocol.
Area Under Curve for The Bishop Score
0.806 probability
Interval 0.69 to 0.91

SECONDARY outcome

Timeframe: 5 months

Population: sensitivity of 83% and a specificity of 87% for failed induction.

the value at which there a high sensitivity and specificity to predict failed labour induction

Outcome measures

Outcome measures
Measure
Labour Induction
n=80 Participants
80 primigravidas undergoing bishop score calculation, trans-vaginal ultrasound assessment of cervical length \&, Modified bishop score calculation, then induction of labour at our hospital. bishop score calculation: Assessment of bishop score by vaginal examination Trans-vaginal ultrasound: trans-vaginal ultrasound assessment of cervical length. Modified bishop score calculation: using the cervical length and the original bishop score to calculate modified bishop score labour induction: Induction of labor was carried out as per our hospital's standard protocol.
Cut Off Value for The Modified Bishop Score
4.5 probability

SECONDARY outcome

Timeframe: 5 months

Population: sensitivity of 83% \& specificity was 73% to failed induction

the value at which there a high sensitivity and specificity to predict failed labour induction

Outcome measures

Outcome measures
Measure
Labour Induction
n=80 Participants
80 primigravidas undergoing bishop score calculation, trans-vaginal ultrasound assessment of cervical length \&, Modified bishop score calculation, then induction of labour at our hospital. bishop score calculation: Assessment of bishop score by vaginal examination Trans-vaginal ultrasound: trans-vaginal ultrasound assessment of cervical length. Modified bishop score calculation: using the cervical length and the original bishop score to calculate modified bishop score labour induction: Induction of labor was carried out as per our hospital's standard protocol.
Cut Off Value for Bishop Score
5.5 probability

Adverse Events

Labour Induction

Serious events: 18 serious events
Other events: 0 other events
Deaths: 0 deaths

Serious adverse events

Serious adverse events
Measure
Labour Induction
n=80 participants at risk
80 primigravidas undergoing bishop score calculation, trans-vaginal ultrasound assessment of cervical length \&, Modified bishop score calculation, then induction of labour at our hospital. bishop score calculation: Assessment of bishop score by vaginal examination Trans-vaginal ultrasound: trans-vaginal ultrasound assessment of cervical length. Modified bishop score calculation: using the cervical length and the original bishop score to calculate modified bishop score labour induction: Induction of labor was carried out as per our hospital's standard protocol.
Pregnancy, puerperium and perinatal conditions
failed labour induction
22.5%
18/80 • 5 months. total time to complete study, other adverse events not related to successful labour induction were not recorded e.g postpartum hemorrhage, wound infection e.t.c
In our study the only serious adverse event recorded was Caesarean section, which occurred when labour progress stopped,\& labour induction was considered to be a failure. In the 5 months total time to complete study, other adverse events not related to successful labour induction were not recorded e.g postpartum hemorrhage, wound infection e.t.c

Other adverse events

Adverse event data not reported

Additional Information

Dr Ahmed Kamel

kasr EL alini

Phone: 0201120022332

Results disclosure agreements

  • Principal investigator is a sponsor employee
  • Publication restrictions are in place